Year-end shipping puts manufacturing logistics under added pressure. Capacity can tighten, lead times can change, and a late inbound shipment or missed outbound pickup can quickly affect production schedules, customer commitments, and revenue goals.   

That makes early transportation planning even more important. Manufacturers that wait until freight is ready may have fewer carrier options, less flexibility, and higher costs when plans change.   

Transportation and logistics are already growing concerns for manufacturing companies. Deloitte’s 2025 Manufacturing Industry Outlook found that more than one-third of manufacturers identified transportation and logistics cost as a primary business challenge.  

For transportation managers, a strong year-end manufacturing logistics strategy can help keep inbound materials, production schedules, outbound shipments, and customer commitments on track.  

Key Takeaways  

• Plan transportation alongside production. Forecast your inbound and outbound freight needs early. That gives your team more time to secure capacity and prepare backup options.  

• Prioritize your most critical freight. Know which inbound shipments could disrupt production and which outbound loads could put customer commitments at risk.  

• Pressure-test critical lanes. Know where carrier options are limited and have backup capacity or routing options ready before peak demand starts.   

• Use visibility to drive action. Tracking is most useful when your team is able to learn about a delay early enough to adjust production, inventory, or delivery plans.   

• Add logistics support before you need it. Extra carrier capacity and transportation options can help when your current resources are stretched.  

Why is Manufacturing Logistics More Challenging at Year-End?  

The final months of the year leave little room for error.  

Manufacturers aren’t just trying to keep products moving. They’re also working toward business objectives that have been building all year, including:  

• Meeting annual production goals  

• Reaching revenue targets  

• Fulfilling customer commitments  

• Balancing inventory levels  

• Completing budget and performance reviews  

• Measuring KPIs and operational performance  

• Preparing for next year’s production demand  

At the same time, transportation teams are often navigating tighter capacity, increased seasonal demand, facility congestion, weather disruptions, and changing lead times.   

This means successful manufacturing logistics requires close coordination between production, purchasing, inventory, and transportation.   

Manufacturers that are better prepared for year-end don’t wait until production is complete to think about transportation. They plan transportation earlier to keep capacity, production, inventory, and customer needs aligned.  

5 Questions to Ask Before Year-End Shipping Peaks  

Before looking at the most common transportation bottlenecks, let’s take a closer look at where your own operation may be at risk for them.  

Start by asking these 5 questions about your operations.  

1. Which inbound shipments could disrupt production if they’re 24–48 hours late?  

Not every shipment carries the same risk. Identify the raw materials and parts that are most important to production. These loads may need closer tracking, earlier capacity planning, and backup options.  

2. Which outbound orders have firm year-end delivery requirements? 

Identify customer-critical orders before capacity tightens. Knowing which shipments have less room for delay helps your team decide where to secure capacity first.  

3. Which lanes have the fewest backup carrier options? 

A lane that works well under normal conditions can become a problem when capacity tightens. Identify critical lanes that depend heavily on one carrier or have few backup options.  

4. Where could facility schedules create risk? 

Review holiday hours, appointment times, dock capacity, customer receiving schedules, and possible dwell time at key facilities.  

Transportation capacity alone can’t prevent a delay if a facility isn’t ready to receive the shipment.  

5. What’s the plan when a critical load is at risk? 

Transportation, production, purchasing, sales, and customer service should know who needs to be notified and what backup options are available. 

They should also know which shipments take priority when plans change.  

If these questions uncover a gap, address it before peak demand starts. This way, your team will have more options than it would after a shipment is already at risk.  

How Do Transportation Bottlenecks Affect Manufacturing Performance?  

Transportation bottlenecks can affect manufacturing before and after production. Inbound delays can keep critical materials from reaching the production line. Outbound delays can put customer deliveries and revenue at risk.  

Inbound Transportation Delays  

Manufacturers depend on raw materials, components, and supplies arriving when they’re needed. When a critical shipment is late, the impact can extend beyond transportation.  

Inbound transportation delays can lead to:  

• Raw materials arriving behind schedule  

• Production lines slowing or stopping  

• Employees waiting on materials   

• Manufacturing schedules shifting across multiple production lines  

• Customer orders falling behind schedule  

One delayed inbound shipment can create scheduling challenges that take days or even weeks to recover from.   

Transportation managers should know which inbound shipments are most important to production and make those loads a priority. 

Outbound Transportation Delays  

Producing products on time is only one part of the equation. Finished goods still need to reach customers according to their delivery requirements.   

When transportation isn’t available, finished goods may sit at the facility while customer delivery deadlines continue approaching.  

Outbound transportation delays can result in:  

• Shorter shelf life for time-sensitive products  

• Finished goods taking up valuable warehouse or dock space  

• Missed delivery windows  

• Delayed revenue recognition  

• Customer dissatisfaction  

• Higher expedited freight costs to recover from delays  

Strong manufacturing logistics connects production with transportation. This helps finished goods keep moving instead of creating another bottleneck.  
  

What Are the Most Common Manufacturing Logistics Bottlenecks at Year-End?  

Common year-end manufacturing logistics bottlenecks include tight capacity, rising freight costs, warehouse congestion, labor constraints, winter weather, and limited shipment visibility.  

Recognizing these risks early gives transportation managers more time to respond before they disrupt production or customer deliveries.  

Tight Transportation Capacity  

Capacity can become harder to find during peak shipping periods. As demand rises, more shippers compete for trucks, equipment, and pickup times.  

Securing capacity earlier, especially on high-volume, time-sensitive, or production-critical lanes, can give transportation teams more flexibility and fewer last-minute surprises.  

Rising Freight Costs  

Freight costs can become less predictable during peak shipping periods.  

Common cost pressures include:  

• Spot market rate volatility   

• Fuel price fluctuations   

• Limited equipment availability   

• Seasonal or peak-related surcharges  

For manufacturers with tight margins, unexpected freight costs can quickly affect the cost of an order.  

Forecasting demand earlier gives transportation managers more time to compare options instead of making costly decisions under pressure.  

Warehouse and Distribution Congestion  

Higher year-end volume doesn’t only affect trucks. Warehouses, distribution centers, suppliers, and customer facilities can also become crowded.  

That can lead to:  

• Slower loading and unloading  

• Appointment delays  

• Longer dwell times  

• Overflow inventory  

• Finished goods remaining at the facility longer than planned  

Pay attention to facility schedules and appointment needs, not just transit times. A truck arriving on time doesn’t help if the facility can’t receive it.  

Labor Constraints  

Transportation depends on people just as much as equipment.  

Labor constraints among drivers, warehouse teams, loading crews, or distribution staff can lead to missed pickups, longer dwell times, and delayed deliveries.   

Identify the suppliers, facilities, and customer shipments most at risk. Then prioritize freight where a delay could have the biggest effect.  

Weather and Seasonal Disruptions  

Winter weather can quickly disrupt transportation schedules, particularly when year-end deadlines leave little room for recovery.  

Snow, ice, road closures, unsafe driving conditions, and other weather events can affect transit times and carrier schedules.  

Rather than plan shipments around ideal transit conditions, transportation managers should identify weather-sensitive lanes and build additional lead time into critical shipments when possible.  

Limited Transportation Visibility  

Visibility matters most when a delay could affect production.  

Without real-time visibility, manufacturers may not realize there’s a problem until materials are already late or a customer delivery is at risk.  

Your team should be able to quickly answer:  

• Where critical freight is  

• Whether a shipment is running behind schedule  

• Which delays could affect production  

• Which customer commitments may be at risk  

• Where inventory or scheduling flexibility may help absorb a delay  

Visibility is most useful when it gives your team enough time to act.  

7 Ways to Reduce Manufacturing Logistics Bottlenecks  

Transportation managers can’t eliminate every disruption, but proactive logistics planning can create more options when conditions change.  

1. Forecast Transportation Needs Earlier 

Transportation planning should begin alongside production planning, not after the products are ready to ship.  

Use production forecasts, historical shipping data, customer demand, and known year-end requirements to estimate inbound and outbound freight needs.  

Forecasting earlier gives transportation partners more time to find capacity. It also helps your team spot gaps before they become urgent.  

2. Secure Capacity Before Demand Peaks 

Identify the shipments and lanes that cannot afford a delay.  

This could include production-critical inbound materials, high-volume customer lanes, specialized equipment requirements, or orders tied to firm delivery deadlines.  

Securing capacity earlier on priority freight can reduce your exposure to last-minute availability issues and give you more flexibility when conditions change.  

3. Improve Transportation Visibility 

Real-time shipment visibility can help your team act before a transportation delay becomes a production problem.  

Look for transportation solutions that provide:  

• Real-time shipment tracking  

• Proactive shipment updates  

• Early issue alerts  

• Clear communication when exceptions occur  

The sooner your team knows about a delay, the more time it has to adjust production, update customers, or find another transportation solution.  

4. Diversify Transportation Options 

Relying too much on a single carrier, route, or transportation mode can increase risk during busy shipping periods.  

A broader carrier network and access to multiple transportation modes can give manufacturers more flexibility when primary options aren’t available.  

This way you have reliable alternatives ready before you even need them.  

5. Build Contingency Plans 

Transportation disruptions happen, especially during busy shipping periods. Your response shouldn’t have to be invented in the moment.  

Identify backup capacity, alternative routes, potential transportation plans, and escalation procedures before peak shipping pressure arrives.  

For the most critical freight, transportation managers should know the answer to a simple question: “If plan A fails, what’s plan B?”  

6. Strengthen Cross-Functional Planning 

The strongest manufacturing logistics strategies aren’t owned solely by transportation.  

Transportation managers should work with production, purchasing, inventory, customer service, and sales. Make sure everyone is using the same demand forecast and knows which shipments matter most.  

For example, a one-day delay may be manageable when there is enough inventory on hand. Another inbound load could stop production if it’s only a few hours late.  

Knowing the difference helps transportation teams focus resources where they matter most.  

7. Partner with an Experienced 3PL 

Year-end transportation management requires time, carrier relationships, visibility, and the ability to respond quickly when plans change.  

An experienced third-party logistics provider (3PL) can expand your transportation options by providing access to carrier capacity, multiple transportation modes, shipment visibility, and logistics professionals who can help manage exceptions.  

For manufacturers, the right 3PL should act as an extension of your transportation team. They should understand which shipments matter most, communicate clearly, and help find solutions when plans change.  

When Should Manufacturers Start Planning for Year-End Shipping?  

Year-end transportation planning should begin well before freight reaches the dock.   

The exact timeline will depend on your freight volume, lanes, equipment requirements, production schedule, and customer commitments. This timeline can help your team get started.  

When Should Manufacturers Consider Extra Logistics Support?  

Even manufacturers with strong carrier relationships may need extra transportation support at times.  

It may be time to add another logistics partner when:  

• Shipping volume is higher than your committed capacity  

• A critical lane has few backup carriers  

• Special freight or equipment is becoming harder to cover  

• Your team spends too much time finding last-minute capacity  

• Shipment problems are becoming harder to manage  

• You need more transportation options without adding more work to your team  

Adding a logistics partner doesn’t have to mean replacing your existing transportation relationships. Instead, it can give your team another reliable option when capacity gets tight, a difficult shipment comes up, or plans unexpectedly change.  

How Does Trinity Logistics Support Manufacturers?  

Trinity Logistics works to understand the priorities behind your freight, not just the shipment itself.  

Our Team works with manufacturers to develop transportation solutions around their shipping needs, production priorities, and customer commitments. With our Team of experienced logistics professionals, an extensive carrier network, multiple transportation solutions, shipment visibility, and proactive communication, Trinity helps manufacturers stay prepared when transportation challenges arise.  

Whether you need support on a difficult lane, additional capacity during peak demand, or another reliable logistics partner in your transportation network, Trinity is ready to help.  

Finish the Year Strong With a Smarter Logistics Strategy 

The best time to identify a transportation gap is before it affects production or a customer delivery.  

Manufacturing success depends on more than producing products on schedule. You also need a manufacturing logistics strategy that keeps materials and finished goods moving when and where they’re needed.  

Your transportation plan should support that, not put it at risk. Trinity Logistics helps manufacturers build more flexibility into their freight strategy with reliable capacity, proactive communication, and creative solutions at the ready for whenever the unexpected happens. 
 

Get Ahead of the Year-End Shipping Rush  

The earlier you plan, the more transportation options you’ll have. Let Trinity help you prepare capacity and transportation solutions around your production and delivery priorities.  

Construction logistics is often invisible in projects, that is, until something goes wrong. 

Picture this: You’re ready for installation day. The crew is waiting on site. The equipment is ready. The schedule is all set.  

Then you get the call: your crane shipment isn’t arriving on time.  

What should have been a productive day on the project site quickly turns into a scramble to adjust schedules, coordinate crews, and explain delays. One missed delivery is all it takes to throw an entire construction project off track.  

That’s why the most successful construction projects are backed by a solid logistics plan that keeps every delivery, deadline, and crew moving in sync. 

Why Construction Logistics Matters More Than Ever  

Today’s projects are bigger, busier, and more complex. Whether it’s a data center or a commercial build, construction teams have less room for delays than ever before. Tighter timelines, limited jobsite space, and rising material costs only add to the challenge. 

The reality is, delays are incredibly common. In fact… 

• 98% of North American construction projects face delays, and many run 20% behind schedule.  

• Project durations are also extending 37% longer than planned, and budget overruns can reach as high as 80%. 

And as most construction teams know, delays rarely travel alone. One late delivery can push back subcontractors, extend equipment rentals, delay inspections, create crane scheduling conflicts, and create a ripple effect that impacts the entire project. 

At the same time, demand keeps growing. Construction spending on data centers alone jumped 34% year over year, creating more competition for materials, labor, and capacity. Add in tariffs, regulations, and supply chain disruptions, and there’s even less room for error than ever before.  

At Trinity Logistics, we’ve seen firsthand that projects staying on schedule usually have one thing in common: logistics planning as a critical part of project management. Getting the right materials to the right place at the right time requires proactive planning, clear communication, and reliable transportation partners that can adapt when conditions change.  

5 Common Construction Logistics Mistakes 

Construction project delays usually don’t come from one major issue. They’re often caused by several smaller problems piling up. Some of the most common causes are:  

Late or Misaligned Material Deliveries  

Nearly 40% of construction projects face delays because of supply chain disruptions. If materials don’t show up on time or arrive out of sequence, crews and schedules are forced to wait. 

Lack of Coordination Between Jobsite and Transportation Teams 

Miscommunication and last-minute changes can quickly throw a project off track. Trucks may arrive before staging areas are ready, materials may be unloaded in the wrong location, or deliveries may conflict with other critical jobsite activities, like crane scheduling. 

Limited Shipment Visibility  

If no one knows a shipment is delayed until the last minute, crews continue preparing for work that can’t happen. Real-time visibility gives project teams time to adjust labor schedules, communicate changes, and minimize disruption. 

Poor Planning Around Site Access, Staging, and Scheduling  

30% of construction professionals say unrealistic schedules and poor upfront planning are top causes of delays. Deliveries should support the workflow, not interrupt it. 

Reactive Decision-Making Instead of Proactive Planning 

Waiting until there’s a problem usually makes the problem bigger… and more expensive.  

And as anyone in construction knows, once one thing falls behind, everything else seems to follow right along with it.  

The good news? Most delays can be planned for before they impact the project. 

Construction Logistics Challenges to Plan For  

Construction projects move fast, which means logistics challenges can show up just as quickly. A few of the biggest things teams need to plan for include:  

Jobsite Workflows and Material staging  

Deliveries need to line up with install schedules, especially when jobsites have limited space. Too much material onsite can create congestion, while missing materials can bring work to a halt.  

Construction Material Delivery Timing 

In construction, timing matters just as much as speed. Early deliveries can clutter the site, and late deliveries can stall crews and delay progress. 

Weather and Site Disruptions  

Weather impacts both transportation and onsite work, making it a major factor in project delays, especially for urban and large data center builds. Weather-related delays alone have been shown to increase project durations by more than 25% and costs by nearly 24% 

Seasonal Demand & Flatbed Capacity 

As more construction projects break ground, finding the right equipment at the right time becomes more challenging. Costs can rise, capacity can tighten, and lead times can stretch. 

A little planning upfront can save a whole lot of scrambling later.  

6 Construction Logistics Tips to Keep Projects on Track 

1. Build a Proactive Construction Logistics Plan 

The best construction logistics plans start long before the first shipment hits the road. Waiting until materials are ready to move usually means you’re already playing catch up.  

By planning project phases, teams can better coordinate deliveries, labor, and equipment needs, and installation schedules. It’s much easier to adjust a plan before work begins than to untangle schedule conflicts and resource gaps once work is already underway. 

2. Align Construction Materials Delivery with Jobsite Workflows  

In construction, timing matters just as much as speed. Deliveries that arrive too early can create storage headaches, block access points, or crowd limited laydown space. Late deliveries can leave crews standing by with nothing to install. 

The goal isn’t just getting materials to the job site. It’s getting them delivered for exactly when the job site is ready for them.  

3. Secure Flatbed and Project Cargo Logistics Capacity Early 

Construction season has a way of making everyone need the same equipment at the same time.  

Waiting until the last minute to secure flatbed, step deck, RGN, or heavy haul capacity can lead to higher costs, longer lead times, and fewer qualified carrier options.  Booking early helps avoid those last-minute scrambles and pricing spikes. It keeps transportation from being the weak link in your project schedule. 

4. Improve Visibility Across All Shipments & Supply Chains 

Nobody likes surprises when they’re waiting on a critical shipment.  

Knowing where materials are, and when they arrive gives project teams time to coordinate labor, adjust crane schedules, update site plans, and communicate the changes before a delay becomes a full jobsite disruption.  

5. Plan for Disruptions Before They Happen  

Weather happens. Permits get delayed. Site conditions change.  

The projects that stay on track aren’t lucky ones. They’re the ones with backup plans already in place. Building contingency plans for alternate routes, delivery windows, staging options, and schedule changes helps teams respond quickly instead of scrambling once the problem is on site. 

6. Work with Experienced Construction Logistics Partners  

Large projects come with a lot of moving pieces, and sometimes it feels like they’re all moving in different directions.  

An experienced construction logistics partner helps manage timing, communication, specialized equipment, permitting needs, and the countless moving pieces that come with high-value or high-volume freight.  

The Right Logistics Partner Keeps Projects Moving  

Construction logistics involves a lot more than simply finding a truck.  

Every flatbed, heavy haul, or over-dimensional shipment requires careful coordination between suppliers, carriers, project managers, and jobsite teams. Timing, permitting, securement, route planning, and specialized equipment all have to come together without slowing the project down. 

That’s where experience matters. 

At Trinity Logistics, we help construction teams coordinate complex deliveries with proactive communication, real-time shipment visibility, specialized equipment access, and a trusted carrier network across North America. Whether you’re managing multiple shipments of phased material deliveries, oversized equipment transport, or high-value heavy haul freight, our Team works behind the scenes to completely manage your project logistics.  

Keep Your Construction Projects Moving Forward with a Smart Logistics Plan 

The right logistics plan helps keep timelines intact and budgets on track. It reduces risk, improves efficiency, and gives teams a better chance of staying ahead of delays. 

From building materials and structural steel to oversized equipment and project cargo, Trinity supports construction shippers with: 

• Real-time shipment visibility and 24/7 access through our Customer Portal  

• A reliable network of qualified carriers across North America 

• Quick access to specialized equipment like RGNs or multi-axle trailers 

• Additional insurance options for high-value freight 

• Upfront pricing, including escorts, permits, etc.  

• Support for high-volume construction project logistics  

• After-hours and weekend support when plans change outside the typical 9-5  

Construction schedules don’t exactly stop for weekends, weather, or unexpected changes – and neither do we. 

Curious about what it’s like working with Trinity? Here’s what customers have shared: 

Construction projects have enough variables you can’t control. Your logistics partner shouldn’t be one of them.  

Every summer, flatbed freight shipping gets tested, especially for those that need to move building materials. But the pressure of the season doesn’t suddenly appear on June 21^st. It starts building as early as March and April. 

It’s when the cold, dreary weather begins to break and daylight returns. Slowed and paused construction reawakens and shifts from planning to production. 

Roofing crews start stirring. Steel and lumber materials begin moving in heavier volumes. Just like the sprouting daffodils, shippers moving construction and building materials feel the shift almost immediately.  

This time of year is the pivot point, when flatbed and open deck capacity begins to tighten up. Smart shippers know that once summer hits, capacity won’t just be expensive, but more difficult to find the right trailer at the right time. By the time jobsites feel busy again, the best equipment is often already committed. And when capacity gets missed, the consequences aren’t small. 

Idle crews wait. Materials get exposed to weather longer than planned. Jobsite delays push off planned schedules. And most importantly, you face increased costs (and not just in transportation) that no one budgeted for.  

The shippers who plan their flatbed freight shipping strategy early are the ones who get to stay calm while everyone else is scrambling.  

WHY FLATBED & OPEN DECK CAPACITY TIGhtENS UP IN SUMMER  

There’s a clear pattern behind summer freight shipping stress.  

Construction seasonality drives a surge in flatbed and open deck shipments. A lot of projects peak at this time of year, which means so do the shipments of the materials or heavy equipment needed for them. The weather definitely plays a role here, too. Flatbed freight shipping accelerates when installs are possible, not just when the factories produce the material. For example, telecommunications materials often get buried underground, and that can’t happen for most of the U.S. when the ground is frozen solid.  

Equipment limitations add another layer. Not every trailer is able to handle long steel beams or tall roofing or scaffolding structures. Oversize and over-dimensional shipments require permits and specific routing, which slows trucks down and limits how many loads they can run in a week. Experienced open deck drivers tend to gravitate to well-planned loads. 

Put it all together and capacity tightens quickly.  

THE APRIL – JUNE REALITY: WHAT HAPPENS IF YOU WAIT TOO LONG TO PLAN FLATBED FREIGHT SHIPPING 

One of the most overlooked realities in flatbed freight shipping is that capacity tightens before prices clearly show it. In March and April, it may not look dramatic yet, but trucks are being scheduled further out. Equipment options start narrowing before you even see it. 

By June, the shippers who did not plan are competing harder, leading to missed pickups, rolled loads, and tighter delivery windows. Your materials may sit longer than expected or arrive out of sequence. 

In construction logistics, those delays can ripple across trades, and project managers or owners get inquisitive.  

This is where your logistics partnerships matter. Early planning and committed capacity reduce the risk before it becomes visible on jobsites.  

JUST HOW FAR AHEAD SHOULD YOU BOOK FLATBED FREIGHT?  

Firstly, there is no perfect formula because schedules change. But during peak shipping season, having a target to aim for does make a difference. 

When timelines allow, here’s what we recommend: 

These times are best practice, but we live in the real world and know that not every shipment comes with ideal notice. Weather shifts and schedules change, sometimes overnight. And honestly, emergency or short-notice loads are just part of the industry. That’s why you should have a reliable logistics provider that can both support proactive planning but also be able to adapt and quickly respond when plans change. Flexibility is key here.  

And proactive planning – it’s not to create rigid timelines, but to give you more options and provide increased flexibility for when those unplanned moments pop up.  

THE TOP BUILDING MATERIALS DRIVING SUMMER FLATBED DEMAND  

Summer demand in flatbed trucking is heavily influenced by a few core construction materials. 

• Roofing materials (shingles, membranes, insulation) 

• Structural steel beams, joists, and columns 

• Lumber, plywood, OSB, LVL, trusses 

• Rebar, fabricated steel assemblies 

• Precast concrete panels and components 

• Stone, masonry products, architectural materials 

• Telecommunications material (conduit, fiber reels) 

Most of this freight moves on flatbed or open deck trailers. Much of it requires tarping, careful securement, and experienced drivers who understand jobsite conditions. 

CHOOSING THE RIGHT TRAILER FOR BUILDING MATERIALS 

Before we break down the trailers required, let’s clarify one thing: 

What’s the difference between flatbed and open deck trailers?  

Flatbed is a more generalized term, often referring to a standard flatbed trailer used for simpler freight. It’s often palletized and sometimes freight that could also be moved in a dry van.  

An open deck trailer is broader and more complex. It includes flatbeds but also step decks, RGNS, and other specialized trailers designed for freight that cannot fit in an enclosed trailer, the shipper or receiver not having a dock, or how the product must be loaded/offloaded, such as with a crane. These loads are often oversized, irregular, heavy, and not palletized.  

Now, here’s a practical breakdown of common building materials and its suggested trailer selection: 

Exact dimensions and details matter. Small miscalculations can cause permit delays, securement issues, or delivery complications at the jobsite.  

The right trailer is not about cost, but about risk reduction.  

HOW TRINITY HELPS YOU WIN YOUR FLATBED FREIGHT SHIPPING STRATEGY (IN EVERY SEASON) 

Your strategy should support your company goals, not complicate your workday.  

That’s just what Trinity Logistics is here to do – to take your peak shipping seasons or last-minute freight needs from inducing panic to nothing you even have to worry about. Because you’ll know that it’s all taken care of. 

At Trinity, we’ve built long-lasting flatbed and open deck carrier relationships based on consistency and trust. Our experts have experience arranging a multitude of construction and building materials, like roofing, steel, lumber, stone, telecommunications, heavy equipment, and more. We work with your business to create proactive plans before peak season tightens capacity and manage permitting, routing, and securement with decades of knowledge. 

What we don’t do is toss you from person to person. You get one accountable partner, one dedicated point of contact, so you always know who to call, who’s got your back. With that partner comes dependable, real-time tracking and communication. And the support of a full people-focused Team that understands construction logistics and what’s at stake. 

We’ll be your guide to an efficient flatbed freight shipping strategy so you can win every season, not just summer. 

THE BEST TIME TO PLAN FOR SUMMER SHIPPING IS NOW 

It’s not just another spring month. It’s the optimal window of time to lock in your summer shipping strategy. 

Too much later and you could be scrambling for limited trucks and equipment. Late planning leads to tighter options, more stress, and avoidable delays. In construction, timing is everything, and freight is no exception.  

The most successful projects aren’t the ones that gamble on availability. They’re the ones backed by a reliable provider who understands the season, the equipment, and the stakes. That’s where Trinity comes in. 

Work with Trinity so you can: 

• Secure capacity early 

• Keep job sites moving when shipping demand spikes 

• Have consistent support when the unexpected happens 

At the end of a project, wouldn’t you like to be remembered for how smoothly it all went? Trinity can make that happen.  

Heavy haul and over-dimensional shipping require more than just power. They demand planning, precision, and experience.  

In 2026, shippers aren’t just battling size and weight. They’re navigating tighter regulations, major infrastructure upgrades, labor constraints, weather predictability, and rising costs.  

The stakes are higher, too. When oversized loads go wrong, the consequences ripple through entire projects.  

• Project timelines stall  

• Crews sit idle 

• Cranes, installers, or field crews get rescheduled 

• Equipment or infrastructure suffers damage 

• Timelines collapse 

• Safety risks increase 

• Total project costs spike  

But here’s the good news: a well-prepared shipper has more control than they think. With the right planning, tools, and logistics partner, heavy haul shipping becomes not just manageable, but predictable.  

Below are five essential steps shippers can take to keep oversized freight moving safely, legally, and with total confidence.  

5 Tips for Heavy Haul Shipping Success  

• Know Your Heavy Haul Legal Limits  

• Secure the Right Permits Early  

• Chose the Right Trailer For Your Oversized Freight 

• Timing Matters More than You Think 

• Partner with an Experienced Heavy Haul Team  

KNOW YOUR HEAVY HAUL LEGAL LIMITS  

Every successful oversized shipment starts with precise measurements. A few inches off can trigger new permit requirements, affect routing, and change equipment options. In most states, oversized loads exceed:  

• Width: 8’6” 

• Height: 13’6” (up to 14’ in some western states) 

• Length: 53’ for a standard trailer 

• Weight: 80,000 pounds gross vehicle weight (GVWR) 

See the exact oversize and overweight rules for your state in our Over Dimensional Shipping Guide.

Exact thresholds and exemptions vary by state, so always verify current requirements before you quote or schedule. Your exact dimensions will determine:  

• Trailer type  

• Permit requirements  

• Allowed routes  

• Escort vehicle rules  

• Load securement requirements 

SECURE THE RIGHT PERMITS EARLY  

Oversized and overweight permits are where many shippers lose time. Every state, and sometimes each county, operates with its own rules, timelines, and restrictions. Managing them can be complex, but early planning prevents delays.  

Permits often regulate:  

• Axle weight and spacing  

• Escort or pilot car needs 

• Seasonal restrictions 

• Travel time limits and curfews 

• Weekend and holiday bans 

Route planning is just as important. Planners must account for: 

• Low bridges 

• Overhead utilities 

• Weight-restricted roads 

• Narrow lanes or tight turns  

• Construction zones or detours  

• Seasonal closures and weather-related concerns  

One delayed permit can derail an entire project. That’s why verifying jurisdiction requirements early, and rechecking them, is essential.  

CHOOSE THE RIGHT TRAILER FOR YOUR OVERSIZED FREIGHT 

Trailor selection does more than just “hold the freight”. It affects route flexibility, safety, total cost, and how much risk you’re really carrying.  

Common heavy haul trailer types include:  

• Flatbeds: For smaller, more basic over-dimensional freight  

• Step decks and double drops: Great for moving taller equipment, provides extra height clearance 

• Removable Goosenecks (RGNs): Great for drive-on heavy machinery 

• Extendable/modular trailers: Best for long or irregular freight  

The wrong equipment can: 

• Restrict route options 

• Trigger additional permits 

• Create dangerous loading conditions 

• Increase cost 

A trusted 3PL (like Trinity) can match your freight with the right trailer, right carrier, and right securement plan from the start.  

For more details on trailer types, explore our breakdown of flatbed and open-deck trailer options.  

TIMING MATTERS MORE THAN YOU THINK 

Oversized loads can’t move whenever they want. Many states place limits on when oversize/overweight freight can move, which can impact crane schedules, install windows, and jobsite coordination. 

Common restrictions include:  

• Night hours 

• Weekends 

• Holidays 

• Rush hour windows  

That means you must schedule buffer time for:  

• Permit processing  

• Weather delays  

• Construction reroutes  

• Escort vehicle availability 

• Mandatory driver rest breaks 

Real-time visibility tools and constant communication help ensure no surprises along the way.  

PARTNER WITH AN EXPERIENCED HEAVY HAUL TEAM  

Heavy haul shipping is never a simple “post the load and go” situation. It requires tight coordination, regulatory expertise, and qualified carriers who understand the risks of oversized freight.  

Partnering with Trinity gives you: 

• A nationwide network of experienced heavy haul carriers 

• Clear, upfront pricing 

• Project planning when needed 

• Permit and routing support 

• Oversize/overweight regulatory expertise 

• Real-time load visibility tools and proactive communication 

• Additional cargo insurance up to $1,000,000 offered 

• Claims guidance when needed 

• Safe, compliant execution from pickup to delivery 

Shipping heavy haul freight will always come with challenges. But with the right preparation and an experienced partner that acts as an advisor (not just a broker), it becomes much more predictable and far less stressful. 

Trinity Logistics is here to help you carry the weight. No matter the distance, our People-Centric Freight Solutions® help keep your shipments safe, compliant, and on track with your project schedule. 

Ready to move what others can’t? 

Partner with Trinity Logistics to ship smarter, safer, and with total confidence. 

What does the future of chemical manufacturing look like? It’s greener, smarter, and built to withstand disruption. As the industry evolves, priorities are shifting. Chemical manufacturers are focusing more on sustainability, innovative technologies, and supply chain resiliency. 

What’s the secret to staying ahead throughout these changes? Choosing forward-thinking providers that do more than keep up with the current trends. Instead, they embrace and expertly lead them. 

TOP TRENDS SHAPING THE FUTURE OF CHEMICAL MANUFACTURING  

• Getting Smarter with Artificial intelligence  

• The Drive for Sustainability 

• Monumental Steps in Bio-based Materials and Energy Security 

• Why Specialty Chemicals Are in Such Demand 

• Navigating Economic Pressures 

• Supply Chain Resiliency 

GETTING SMARTER WITH ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is changing all industries including the chemical industry.  

Companies are using AI to make better decisions, improve product consistency, and run operations more efficiently. 

AI Tools Helping Chemical Manufacturers  

Predictive Maintenance 

AI helps predict equipment issues before they cause costly breakdowns.  

Quality Control 

AI can spot product issues right away, so companies can fix problems and avoid wasting time and materials. 

Supply Chain Management 

AI optimizes logistics, helping companies navigate complex networks.  

Improved Decision Making 

AI uses vast amounts of data to guide smarter business decisions. 

AI isn’t only a trend for chemical manufacturing. It’s a game changer that boosts productivity and helps companies stay competitive.  

THE DRIVE FOR SUSTAINABILITY  

The pressure to reduce environmental impact is at an all-time high for all industries. From emissions to waste management, companies are being held accountable for their footprint on the planet.  

For those in chemical manufacturing, it’s clear that there is always more to do. And so, enters “Green Chemistry” into the chat. 

Leading the way, Green Chemistry focuses on the design of products and processes to reduce the use of hazardous materials. By using fewer resources and focusing on safety, it’s raising the bar for cleaner, safer products. 

Looking ahead, there are predictions to see these sustainability trends in chemical manufacturing: 

• Cost-effective clean energy solutions becoming more accessible 

• Policy changes creating stricter environmental rules and rewarding eco-friendly practices 

• Bio-based materials offering lower carbon footprints and improved biodegradability 

The chemical industry has a unique opportunity to lead the way in sustainability. Success in this space will take innovation and a clear commitment to improvement. 

MONUMENTAL STEPS IN BIO-BASED MATERIALS & ENERGY SECURITY  

There’s more to say on bio-based materials because they are making waves in chemical manufacturing.  

These materials come from living and renewable organisms, like plants. They’re biodegradable, safer, and more sustainable than traditional petroleum-based materials.  

Taking steps away from petroleum-based chemicals is a BIG shift in chemical manufacturing. It’s a common method that’s been used for many years. But now, there’s a stronger focus on using safer, plant-based options, so bio-based is all the rage. The European Environment Agency states global production capacity for bio-based materials has more than doubled since 2010, with a 10 percent increase over the past five years.  

For example, the use of non-toxic solvents in workplaces is becoming more commonplace. Not only does this cut down on pollution, but it helps employers meet stricter health and safety regulations. 

Reducing energy use is another big area of change. Chemical manufacturers are using smarter engineering methods to lower energy usage for production. While this helps save money, it also further reduces the need for fossil fuels. And that makes energy supplies more reliable for operations. 

These changes are shaping a future where chemical production is cleaner, safer, and more eco-friendly. No need to sacrifice quality or innovation. 

WHY SPECIALTY CHEMICALS ARE IN SUCH HIGH DEMAND 

Specialty chemicals, also called performance chemicals, are engineered for specific applications. Unlike bulk chemicals, they’re created for an exact purpose. Manufacturers find them essential in industries like electronics, packaging, and medicine. 

One of their fastest-growing applications is agriculture, and it’s not hard to see why. As the world’s population grows, we need more food. But what doesn’t grow is the amount of land that’s needed for it. Here’s where specialty chemicals, like agrochemicals, shine. They help us protect vital crops, improve soil, and overall grow more food on the same amount of land. Specialty chemicals are helping farmers grow smarter, not just bigger. 

According to BBC research, the global market for specialty chemicals is projected to grow from 1.3 trillion to 1.7 trillion by 2029. With growth in this space comes the need for reliable logistics. Specialty chemicals need care, precision, and compliance to ensure quality, safety, and on-time delivery. 

NAVIGATING ECONOMIC PRESSURES 

Recent years have toughened the economic landscape for those in the chemical industry. Specifically, chemical manufacturers face challenges of higher operating costs and lower production rates. According to The American Chemistry Council, US chemical imports dropped by 10 percent in April as organizations pulled back from escalating tariffs. That’s forced many companies to rethink how they operate. 

To tackle these challenges, current strategies include: 

• Optimizing factory and office operations 

• Reducing unnecessary spending 

• Finding faster, more cost-effective ways to produce and deliver 

These aren’t quick fixes. They’re part of a larger move toward greater efficiency and flexibility. And they’re likely to continue.  As the economic future remains uncertain, chemical companies will keep looking to do more with less for long-term success.  

BUILDING SUPPLY CHAIN RESILIENCE 

The past few years have shown how easy it is for global supply chains to break down. Chemical manufacturers have dealt with raw material shortages, shipping delays, and more. In short, chemical supply chains need to be stronger and more flexible. 

Chemical companies are currently working on that transition. They’re changing strategies from depending on one supplier to building diverse partnerships in different regions. Sourcing materials from several different places helps avoid delays so operations keep running. 

Technology is also essential for them here. Tools with AI and data analysis can help predict potential problems, improve shipping, and offer decision-making. Multi-modal logistics strategies also allow for uninterrupted and timely deliveries.  

Diversified partners and efficient logistics technology will give chemical supply chains greater visibility, flexibility, and lower risk. Those without may not be prepared for whatever comes next.  

POWER UP YOUR CHEMICAL MANUFACTURING WITH TRINITY 

Looking for your business to thrive (not just survive) now and in the future?  Then you’ve got to stay ahead of the competition; and you can do just that by working with Trinity Logistics. We don’t just move freight. We move businesses forward.   

Here’s how we help power up your chemical manufacturing supply chain: 

We Understand Your Industry 

We speak your language. We understand the precision and urgency your products demand. Our Trinity experts know how to work with nuances in your industry’s shipments. From hazmat shipping to temperature-control or tight delivery windows – we get it. Better yet, we handle it.  

Need further proof of our commitment to those in the chemical industry? We’ve proudly been Responsible Care® certified since 2009. We’re also a member of the Alliance for Chemical Distribution (ACD) since 2020. 

Sustainability Is Important to Us, Too 

You’re pushing for greener practices, and so are we! Recently, Trinity earned a Silver Medal Rating from EcoVadis, up from our previous Bronze. This places us among the top 15 percent of all organizations assessed. When you choose to work with us, you choose to work with a company that shares your commitment to a cleaner, more responsible future.  

Technology Is Important and Top of Mind 

We believe in harnessing powerful tech tools to make your life easier. From real-time GPS tracking to instant document access, you’re always in the know – 24/7. 

And if you’re ready to level up? Our Managed Transportation solutions give you even more control, insights, and optimization power.  

Also note, we don’t chase technology trends just because they’re shiny. Yes, we do make use of tools like AI where it makes sense. Maybe it’s to streamline routing, spot inefficiencies, or remove mundane, manual tasks. But we always choose to add technology tools with purpose. 

At Trinity, we’re proudly people-first. Tech tools help us clear the noise, not replace the humans behind the scenes. It helps us make room for what really matters- better service, real support, and lasting relationships. Because we can’t make the promise of People-Centric service if we replace our people. A true partnership just can’t be automated.  

Supply Chain Challenges? That’s What We’re All About! 

Disruptions happen. But we make sure they don’t disrupt you. We actually thrive on tackling your toughest logistics challenges! 

See what one of our Chemical Manufacturing companies says about partnering with Trinity Logistics. 

Let’s just say that 45+ years of business have shown us a lot. So, whether you’re juggling complex delivery schedules or unpredictable market swings, we’re here to help. You’ll soon find that you’ve gained more than a one-time fix. Instead, you’ll have a strategic logistics provider on your side, committed to seeing your business succeed. Better yet? You’ll feel more prepared for whatever the future brings. 

Big shifts are reshaping manufacturing, and staying ahead is crucial. 

Many of today’s manufacturing trends are in line with the industry’s goals to improve processes, create efficiencies, and meet customer demand. Manufacturers must do more than simply keep operations running. It’s pivotal for them to adapt, evolve, and embrace change to thrive in the industry.  

Here are the six trends you need to know so your manufacturing company can stay relevant and resilient.  

WHAT ARE THE SIX MAJOR MANUFACTURING TRENDS?   

• Sustainability and Climate Preparedness

• Expanding Role of Technology

• Artificial Intelligence

• Ongoing Urgency of Cybersecurity

• Managing Demand Growth with a Reduced Workforce

• Rethinking the Supply Chain

SUSTAINABILITY & CLIMATE PREPAREDNESS for Manufacturing

Improving sustainability is no longer optional. It is a business necessity.  

Combatting climate change is a priority on everyone’s mind, and the manufacturing industry is no exception. Manufacturers are under growing pressure to adopt carbon-neutral practices and meet Environment, Social and Governance (ESG) demands.  

Here’s how manufacturing companies are reducing their environmental impact: 

• Using intermodal shipping to cut emissions 

• Purchasing carbon offsets, such as sponsoring restoration projects 

• Adapting platforms like EcoVadis to track and report sustainability efforts  

Additionally, as the climate becomes more unstable, severe weather is the new normal. And with that brings disruption. In fact, the U.S. National Climate Assessment reports that in the 1980’s, a billion-dollar extreme weather event occurred once every four months. Today, they occur every three weeks.  

High winds, flooding, wildfires, and droughts are disrupting deliveries, damaging infrastructure, and increasing costs. With these severe weather events becoming more frequent, there is less downtime for affected supply chains to regroup. 

When severe weather and disasters strike, the last thing you want is to be left guessing where your freight is or whether it’s still on track. That’s why many companies are implementing a Transportation Management System (TMS). With real-time tracking, smarter routing, and proactive updates, a TMS helps you stay ahead of disruptions and keep shipments moving even when the weather isn’t cooperating.  

EXPANDING ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY in Manufacturing

The manufacturing industry continues to embrace advanced technology to meet rising demand and overcome labor shortages. Industry 4.0 is what many refer to as this current manufacturing trend. It’s a shortened term for what is called the fourth industrial revolution. 

With tech like Machine Learning, the Internet of Things (IoT), and real-time analytics, manufacturers are: 

• Freeing up staff for higher-value work  

• Reducing errors and boosting product quality 

• Making faster, data-driven decisions 

As the adoption of Industry 4.0 tech continues to grow, it’s important for businesses to focus on empowering their people with better tools, not letting them take over.  

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE in Manufacturing

There’s no doubt that Artificial intelligence (AI) is the hot topic of most industries today, manufacturing included. According to Deloitte’s 2024 Future of the Digital Customer Experience survey, 55 percent of industrial product manufacturers already use AI and over 40 percent plan to increase their AI over the next three years. 

AI is helping manufacturers to:  

• Predict demand more accurately 

• Streamline operations 

• Reduce costs 

• Improve quality control and maintenance 

• Make smarter decisions faster 

AI is quickly gaining more and more momentum year after year. It’s certain to continue to revolutionize the manufacturing industry.  

ONGOING URGENCY OF CYBERSECURITY In Manufacturing

As manufacturing operations become more digital, they’re becoming bigger targets for cybercriminals. In the 2024 RSM US Middle Market Business Index, 28 percent of executives reported experiencing a data breach in the past year, up 20 percent from 2023. 

Slips in cybersecurity and digital threats can compromise: 

• Machinery – even shutting down equipment  

• Worker safety 

• Disrupt your entire supply chain 

Cybersecurity isn’t just IT’s problem; it’s a company-wide priority. Investing in things like multi-factor identification, employee training, and recovery plans is paramount to the safety of your company. In fact, KnowBe4 recently shared that consistent cybersecurity training reduced employee phishing attack vulnerability by up to 86 percent! 

WORKFORCE SHORTAGES REMAIN A Manufacturing CHALLENGE 

Labor shortages remain a hurdle in the industry, limiting production and growth. To overcome these manufacturers are:  

• Upskilling and apprenticeship programs  

• Focusing on employee retention 

• Using AI to forecast labor needs, identifying skill gaps, and personalize training 

Deloitte’s 2025 Manufacturing Industry Outlook states that nearly 60 percent of manufacturers cited the inability to attract and retain employees as their top challenge, according to the National Association of Manufacturers. 

Focusing on retaining a solid workforce will ensure companies stay equipped to meet future demands.  

RETHINKING THE Manufacturing SUPPLY CHAIN  

It wasn’t that long ago when COVID-19 exposed just how fragile the supply chain is. Since then, manufacturers have worked towards building more resiliency, visibility, flexibility, and stronger digital connections.  

In 2025, AI- and tech-driven supply chain keeps an edge on competitors and resilient to future disruptions.  

And unfortunately, we must mention what’s top of mind for most manufacturers – tariffs and economic uncertainty. With evolving U.S. trade policies and new tariffs on goods from China, Canada, Mexico, and more, prices for everything are raising. From rising raw material costs to shipping rates and dropping consumer confidence, manufacturers are pulling back on their estimations for growth. Manufacturing revenue is only expected to grow by 0.1 percent in 2025, a staggering drop from last year’s 0.8 percent. 

STAY AHEAD OF MANUFACTURING TRENDS  

Staying ahead of these manufacturing trends takes more than just some of the internal changes mentioned previously. It takes having the right strategic partners in place, too.  

And that’s where a trusted logistics expert like Trinity Logistics comes in. We’re here to help manufacturing companies, like yours: 

• Gain visibility into their supply chains 

• Tap into smarter, greener, more cost-effective shipping strategies 

• Easily adapt to change without added stress 

• Be resilient and stay one step ahead of any disruptions 

As a People-Centric company, we’re invested in your company’s success. Our experts constantly monitor and stay informed on the latest developments in your industry, so we keep you ahead of the curve, no matter the current trends. Whether you’re looking to explore a new mode of transportation, simplify your operations, or just want to make sure your product gets delivered on time, we’re who you can lean on for logistics support. Allow us to keep things moving while you focus on what matters most – being the leader in your manufacturing space. 

Stay up to date on the latest information on conditions impacting the freight market, curated by Trinity Logistics through our Freightwaves Sonar subscription.

Exit Stage Left

The slow but consistent exit of carriers from the freight market continues.

Figure 1.1 shows a theme of negative net authorities in the for-hire carrier market thus far in 2025. This continues the trend from last year, when there were 13,000 fewer carriers in the market at the end of the year versus compared to the start, an almost four percent decrease. Operating costs, tariff-related increases in equipment and parts, and a stricter mandate on driver proficiency in English will continue to negatively impact the number of drivers and carriers in the market.  

Where this impact will be most pronounced is the tender rejection rate, the frequency in which carriers say “no thank you” to a shipment offered to them. I don’t foresee the rejection rates we experienced in the latter part of ’20 and all of ’21, which were in the 20-30 percent range, happening. However, we are quickly approaching double-digit rejection rates which would signal a more balanced supply and demand freight market. 

Shippers have been working with the luxury of not having to reach too far into their routing guides and carrier and broker partners. As the recent trends continue, freight acceptance compliance will become more challenging for them.

West Coast Ports Heat Up Again

The one thing that is somewhat unpredictable right now is import volumes and their impact on the freight market.  

Figure 2.1 shows the slowdown of freight from overseas, most of which affected our West Coast ports. Once a handshake deal was in place to stave off steep tariffs with China, ships pulled up their anchors and chugged across the waters destined for the U.S. 

Import volumes have recently surpassed 2023 levels and are soon to close in on 2024 volumes. Most of this freight will be more of a “just in case” scenario versus “just in time”. This will see a greater benefit to the rail industry versus truckload market, as freight that is not time sensitive has the luxury of taking longer to arrive at its destination at a lower cost.  

Expect to see some volatility in truckload pricing in and around the LA/LB ports as capacity and freight volume imbalances collide. 

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Freight in Retreat

A picture is worth a thousand words.  

Figure 1.1 shows the initial impacts of the tariffs with regard to ocean containers and over-the-road trucking volumes. As you see by the yellow line, shippers were eager to get ahead of the pending tariffs with freight from China. But as the tit for tat trade war has continued, blank sailings and cancelled bookings are becoming common and has caused inbound container volume to trend downward, now sitting almost 20 percent less than this time last year. 

This has translated into a regression in the over-the-road trucking volume, with the blue line starting to show a decline at time of year when freight volumes should be escalating with increased consumer activity and the start of produce season. Additionally, the lack of container volume has an impact on rail activity with total intermodal container volume receding five percent from where it was in March.

Carriers Struggle with Freight Shift

The rejection of freight tenders (OTRI.USA) has been relatively unchanged over the past month plus. This has been held up by a declining base of carriers. However, if you look at Figure 2.1 you will see via the red line that the average length of haul for shipments has been on a steady decline pretty much for the past year.  

Yes, less import traffic plays into that, as those shipments typically head to larger metro areas (Chicago, Dallas) once they cross into our borders at the port. But a push for regionalization by shippers and an increase in e-commerce activity has also fueled more frequent but shorter distances for freight to travel, down about 12 percent from this time in 2024.  

This is not great news for carriers as 75 miles less equates to a lower price they can command, but the mileage difference is not enough to allow them to compensate for the difference by additional freight moves during their work week.

Tariffs Price Out Small Carriers

The length and severity of the tariffs is not only having an immediate impact on trucking volumes, but it could be setting the industry up for a capacity shortage once calmer waters prevail. 25 percent tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports have increased the cost of new trucks by almost $30,000, making it particularly challenging for smaller carriers to invest in new equipment, let alone new entrants to enter the carrier capacity market.  

And for those looking to stretch the mileage out of older equipment, the increased cost for maintenance parts and fuel additives as a result of tariffs puts further strain on already tight budgets. Considering 93 percent of the for-hire carriers in the U.S. are less than 10 trucks, there could be a gaping hole to fill in the spot market when a freight rebound happens.

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tarifFS AND TIGHT WALLETS

A colleague of mine told me recently that anytime you give a presentation around technology, there is an obligation, almost a duty, to include “AI”. Now, it feels like anytime you talk or write about things in the freight market, you have to include the word “tariffs”. The old saying, if you don’t laugh, you’ll cry seems very appropriate. 

In 2024, 68 percent of personal consumer expenditures comprised our nation’s gross domestic product (GDP). This is concerning when you look at the trend over the last three months regarding consumer revolving credit.  

As you can see below in Figure 1.1, year-over-year (YoY) there has been a decline. When customers feel skittish about taking on a new car loan or signing on the dotted line for a thirty-year mortgage, this has a trickle-down effect, not just on the immediate sectors, like the auto industry and housing, but those secondary and tertiary markets. If the pace of new homes being bought slows, then production of things that go into the home, like furniture, carpet, or fixtures, is also impacted negatively.  

Some have pointed to the credit card revolving debt as a sign of the economy’s strength. That may have been a valid argument in January, when we saw a six percent YoY gain. But the recent report shows an annualized bump of only 0.1 percent, indicating that consumers are curtailing spending and relying on cash at hand to fund purchases versus credit cards.  

Don’t be surprised if long-term debt, like auto loans, starts to show an uptick in delinquency.

Tiny Shifts, but Big Waves

As the threat of the “T” word continues, the freight market continues to see the pull forward of goods entering the U.S. as shippers look to get ahead of an increase in production costs.  

While a slight increase in port areas like Los Angeles may seem like no big deal (Figure 2.1), keep in mind over half of the import volume funnels through the LA/LB ports. Even going from a 2.5 percent rejection rate to now in the five percent range (yellow line) may not seem significant. However, when you apply that change to 413k shipments in February alone, it becomes a significant impact.  

A port like Savannah (blue line) shows the impact of a fragile capacity balance, and even a slight uptick can be needle moving for rejection of freight tenders. While not to the size of the LA/LB ports, handling 265k import containers in March, a surge in volume of 30k containers compared to February 2025, an imbalance in capacity can quickly escalate rejection rates close to 15 percent as they stand currently.

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Spring Thaw or Economic Chill? Key Indicators to Watch in 2025  

Normally we look at over-the-road or port volumes, what carrier rejections look like, and how that is impacting freight rates. This month, we’re going to shift a bit and look at things from more of an economic standpoint. The first chart, Figure 1.1, shows the federal funds rate and consumer debt. Consumer spending accounts for a large portion of GDP with dollars they spend on things as well as services.  

The latter part of 2024 saw multiple cuts to interest rates. However, the expectation heading into 2025 was that any relief on rates would not be seen until the second half of the year as typically those who make the decisions take a bit of a ‘wait-and-see’ approach as there were several new players on the committee in their first meeting.  

One area that members of the committee look toward is the strength of the labor market. While the jobs report showed numbers for the first two months of the year slightly below the forecast, the unemployment rate continued to hover in the 4% range (Figure 2.1). Another encouraging sign is the slight increase in jobs across the manufacturing and construction sectors. Coupled with the ISM breaching the 50 mark, which is typically the point of determining positive versus negative sentiment in these industries, there is optimism as the Spring thaw begins (Figure 2.2).

I would be remiss if I did not mention recently enacted and pending tariffs. I think anyone that gives an update on the economy is now required to mention the “T” word. Things like steel, aluminum, and lumber that have been at the center of these talks are commodities that support manufacturing, and a decline in volume or an increase in the cost of these goods could hamper the manufacturing sector.

Another area in the news relates to home purchasing. Fannie Mae publishes the Home Purchase Sentiment Index, (Figure 3.1) which has shown a slight uptick in the last several months. Consumers who felt now was a good time to sell a home rose to 65 percent, up from 60 percent in January.

While the same cannot be said for those in the market to buy; only 19 percent of consumers felt it was a good time to buy., a modest increase from the end of 2024. Much of that optimism is based on anticipated relief with mortgage rates, something consumers believe the second half of the year will offer. Will we see rates of three percent that existed back in ’21 & ’22? Most likely, no, but rates in the five or six percent range can be a swing of several hundreds of dollars on a family’s monthly mortgage payment. 

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